Gold futures (GC) currently trade near $4,220 per ounce amid elevated levels established in 2025. Persistent central bank purchases, estimated near 800 tonnes annually, alongside geopolitical tensions and de-dollarization flows, underpin support despite recent consolidation. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the Federal Reserve's policy path, with the June 17 FOMC decision and upcoming CPI releases likely to shape rate expectations—stable or higher rates could pressure prices via stronger Treasury yields and a firmer dollar, while cuts would favor gold as a hedge. Broader inflation trajectory and any shifts in ETF flows remain key swing factors through year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué alcanzará el oro (GC) __ a finales de diciembre?
¿Qué alcanzará el oro (GC) __ a finales de diciembre?
$430,245 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑ $15,000
5%
↑ $12,000
4%
↑ $10,000
4%
↑ $8,000
6%
↑ $7,000
8%
↑ $6,000
15%
$430,245 Vol.
↑ $15,000
$35,884 Vol.
5%
↑ $12,000
$44,145 Vol.
4%
↑ $10,000
$28,568 Vol.
4%
↑ $8,000
$25,684 Vol.
6%
↑ $7,000
$63,365 Vol.
8%
↑ $6,000
$232,606 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) currently trade near $4,220 per ounce amid elevated levels established in 2025. Persistent central bank purchases, estimated near 800 tonnes annually, alongside geopolitical tensions and de-dollarization flows, underpin support despite recent consolidation. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the Federal Reserve's policy path, with the June 17 FOMC decision and upcoming CPI releases likely to shape rate expectations—stable or higher rates could pressure prices via stronger Treasury yields and a firmer dollar, while cuts would favor gold as a hedge. Broader inflation trajectory and any shifts in ETF flows remain key swing factors through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Volumen
$430,245Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) currently trade near $4,220 per ounce amid elevated levels established in 2025. Persistent central bank purchases, estimated near 800 tonnes annually, alongside geopolitical tensions and de-dollarization flows, underpin support despite recent consolidation. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the Federal Reserve's policy path, with the June 17 FOMC decision and upcoming CPI releases likely to shape rate expectations—stable or higher rates could pressure prices via stronger Treasury yields and a firmer dollar, while cuts would favor gold as a hedge. Broader inflation trajectory and any shifts in ETF flows remain key swing factors through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$430,245Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) currently trade near $4,220 per ounce amid elevated levels established in 2025. Persistent central bank purchases, estimated near 800 tonnes annually, alongside geopolitical tensions and de-dollarization flows, underpin support despite recent consolidation. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the Federal Reserve's policy path, with the June 17 FOMC decision and upcoming CPI releases likely to shape rate expectations—stable or higher rates could pressure prices via stronger Treasury yields and a firmer dollar, while cuts would favor gold as a hedge. Broader inflation trajectory and any shifts in ETF flows remain key swing factors through year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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