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Geopolítica·Trump

¿Estados Unidos acusa federalmente al ex líder cubano Raúl Castro?

icon for ¿Estados Unidos acusa federalmente al ex líder cubano Raúl Castro?
Geopolítica·Trump

¿Estados Unidos acusa federalmente al ex líder cubano Raúl Castro?

Sí

17% probabilidad
Polymarket

$67,407 Vol.

Sí

17% probabilidad
Polymarket

$67,407 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no U.S. federal charges against former Cuban leader Raul Castro by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any Department of Justice indictment despite early-year pressures. In February, Republican lawmakers including Reps. Salazar, Díaz-Balart, Giménez, and Malliotakis urged the Trump administration's DOJ to prosecute Castro for his alleged role in the 1996 Brothers to the Rescue shootdown of civilian planes. Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier launched a state-level probe on March 4, and Miami's top federal prosecutor indicated exploration of cases against Cuban officials on March 6, but no federal action has followed in the subsequent seven weeks. Castro's residence in Cuba, advanced age of 94, and lack of extradition prospects reinforce trader skepticism amid jurisdictional hurdles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$67,407
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 5:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no U.S. federal charges against former Cuban leader Raul Castro by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any Department of Justice indictment despite early-year pressures. In February, Republican lawmakers including Reps. Salazar, Díaz-Balart, Giménez, and Malliotakis urged the Trump administration's DOJ to prosecute Castro for his alleged role in the 1996 Brothers to the Rescue shootdown of civilian planes. Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier launched a state-level probe on March 4, and Miami's top federal prosecutor indicated exploration of cases against Cuban officials on March 6, but no federal action has followed in the subsequent seven weeks. Castro's residence in Cuba, advanced age of 94, and lack of extradition prospects reinforce trader skepticism amid jurisdictional hurdles.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$67,407
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 5:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of former First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Raul Castro between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Estados Unidos acusa federalmente al ex líder cubano Raúl Castro?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Estados Unidos acusa federalmente al exlíder de Cuba, Raúl Castro?" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 17¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Estados Unidos acusa federalmente al ex líder cubano Raúl Castro?" ha generado $67.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Estados Unidos acusa federalmente al ex líder cubano Raúl Castro?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Estados Unidos acusa federalmente al ex líder cubano Raúl Castro?" es "¿Estados Unidos acusa federalmente al exlíder de Cuba, Raúl Castro?" con 17%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Estados Unidos acusa federalmente al ex líder cubano Raúl Castro?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.