Semifinal first-leg results have kept the UEFA Champions League winner market tightly contested, with Bayern Munich, PSG, and Arsenal clustered at 31.5%, 30.5%, and 28.5% implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on their near-equal paths to the final. PSG claimed a thrilling 5-4 home win over Bayern on April 28, giving Luis Enrique's side a one-goal aggregate edge ahead of the Allianz Arena second leg on May 6, where Vincent Kompany's attack must exploit home advantage. Arsenal's 1-1 draw at Atlético Madrid on April 29—penalty goals from Gyökeres and Álvarez—leaves Mikel Arteta's Gunners favored slightly for the Emirates return on May 5, bolstered by a 13-game unbeaten UCL streak. Atlético trails at 8.9% due to Simeone's counter-reliance against Arsenal's press, while quarterfinal triumphs (Bayern over Real Madrid 6-4 agg., PSG ousting Liverpool 4-0, Arsenal edging Sporting 1-0, Atlético beating Barcelona 3-2) underscore the knockout volatility ahead of the May 30 final.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoBayern de Múnich 32%
PSG 31%
Arsenal 29%
Atlético de Madrid 8.9%
$252,490,245 Vol.
$252,490,245 Vol.
Bayern de Múnich
32%
PSG
31%
Arsenal
29%
Atlético de Madrid
9%
Club Brugge
<1%
Bayern de Múnich 32%
PSG 31%
Arsenal 29%
Atlético de Madrid 8.9%
$252,490,245 Vol.
$252,490,245 Vol.
Bayern de Múnich
32%
PSG
31%
Arsenal
29%
Atlético de Madrid
9%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Semifinal first-leg results have kept the UEFA Champions League winner market tightly contested, with Bayern Munich, PSG, and Arsenal clustered at 31.5%, 30.5%, and 28.5% implied probabilities reflecting trader consensus on their near-equal paths to the final. PSG claimed a thrilling 5-4 home win over Bayern on April 28, giving Luis Enrique's side a one-goal aggregate edge ahead of the Allianz Arena second leg on May 6, where Vincent Kompany's attack must exploit home advantage. Arsenal's 1-1 draw at Atlético Madrid on April 29—penalty goals from Gyökeres and Álvarez—leaves Mikel Arteta's Gunners favored slightly for the Emirates return on May 5, bolstered by a 13-game unbeaten UCL streak. Atlético trails at 8.9% due to Simeone's counter-reliance against Arsenal's press, while quarterfinal triumphs (Bayern over Real Madrid 6-4 agg., PSG ousting Liverpool 4-0, Arsenal edging Sporting 1-0, Atlético beating Barcelona 3-2) underscore the knockout volatility ahead of the May 30 final.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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