SpaceX’s recent SEC filings and roadshow targeting a $135 per share offering price at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation anchor trader sentiment for the IPO closing price, with four bins clustered near 40.5% implied probability reflecting uncertainty over post-listing reception. High revenue multiples near 90x trailing sales, contrasted with more conservative analyst valuations such as Morningstar’s $780 billion assessment, highlight valuation debates that could drive volatility around the debut. Strong institutional demand and Starlink growth prospects support the mid-range bins, while lockup expirations and broader equity market conditions remain key swing factors ahead of the expected mid-June Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$100-$150 41%
$150-$200 41%
$200-$250 41%
$250+ 41%
<$100
19%
$100-$150
41%
$150-$200
41%
$200-$250
41%
$250+
41%
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
10%
$100-$150 41%
$150-$200 41%
$200-$250 41%
$250+ 41%
<$100
19%
$100-$150
41%
$150-$200
41%
$200-$250
41%
$250+
41%
No salida a bolsa antes de 2028
10%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s recent SEC filings and roadshow targeting a $135 per share offering price at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation anchor trader sentiment for the IPO closing price, with four bins clustered near 40.5% implied probability reflecting uncertainty over post-listing reception. High revenue multiples near 90x trailing sales, contrasted with more conservative analyst valuations such as Morningstar’s $780 billion assessment, highlight valuation debates that could drive volatility around the debut. Strong institutional demand and Starlink growth prospects support the mid-range bins, while lockup expirations and broader equity market conditions remain key swing factors ahead of the expected mid-June Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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