Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin tracking estimates for the May 8-10 box office frame, with Michael, The Devil Wears Prada 2, and Mortal Kombat 2 deadlocked at 41.5% implied probabilities for second place amid a projected dogfight for the top spot. Michael, fresh off a record-shattering $97 million debut and solid $54 million second-weekend hold, eyes a 30% drop to around $38 million in its third frame, buoyed by enduring fan buzz and family appeal on Mother's Day weekend. The Devil Wears Prada 2, surging past the original's opening with $77 million last weekend, anticipates a standard 47% sophomore decline to $41 million, leveraging Meryl Streep and Anne Hathaway's star power and female demos. Newcomer Mortal Kombat 2 tracks $38-46 million in its bow, fueled by gamer presales and Thursday previews near $5.5 million, but faces counterprogramming risks. Friday actuals and Saturday walkups will decide the hierarchy, as Sheep Detectives lags at $17 million projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSecond highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)
Second highest grossing movie this weekend (May 8)
Mortal Kombat 2 56%
Michael 33%
The Devil Wears Prada 2 24%
Mortal Kombat 2
68%
Michael
33%
The Devil Wears Prada 2
24%
Mortal Kombat 2 56%
Michael 33%
The Devil Wears Prada 2 24%
Mortal Kombat 2
68%
Michael
33%
The Devil Wears Prada 2
24%
If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If more than one movie reports the same gross for the 3-day weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If no movie plays in theaters during the specified weekend, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin tracking estimates for the May 8-10 box office frame, with Michael, The Devil Wears Prada 2, and Mortal Kombat 2 deadlocked at 41.5% implied probabilities for second place amid a projected dogfight for the top spot. Michael, fresh off a record-shattering $97 million debut and solid $54 million second-weekend hold, eyes a 30% drop to around $38 million in its third frame, buoyed by enduring fan buzz and family appeal on Mother's Day weekend. The Devil Wears Prada 2, surging past the original's opening with $77 million last weekend, anticipates a standard 47% sophomore decline to $41 million, leveraging Meryl Streep and Anne Hathaway's star power and female demos. Newcomer Mortal Kombat 2 tracks $38-46 million in its bow, fueled by gamer presales and Thursday previews near $5.5 million, but faces counterprogramming risks. Friday actuals and Saturday walkups will decide the hierarchy, as Sheep Detectives lags at $17 million projections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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