Romania's coalition government collapsed last week when the Social Democratic Party (PSD), its largest partner, withdrew support from Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's National Liberal Party (PNL)-led administration, prompting PSD ministers' resignations and leaving a minority government. PSD has since allied with far-right AUR to table a no-confidence motion, securing over 230 parliamentary signatures—exceeding the 233 needed—potentially for a vote as early as May 5. Bolojan refuses to resign, vowing to lead reforms for EU funds access, but traders see an 82.5% implied probability of his ouster by December 31, driven by the motion's strong backing and scant prospects for a stable majority amid ongoing instability. The vote's result will dictate near-term parliamentary dynamics, possibly triggering snap elections or new coalition talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$75,998 Vol.
$75,998 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$75,998 Vol.
$75,998 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's coalition government collapsed last week when the Social Democratic Party (PSD), its largest partner, withdrew support from Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's National Liberal Party (PNL)-led administration, prompting PSD ministers' resignations and leaving a minority government. PSD has since allied with far-right AUR to table a no-confidence motion, securing over 230 parliamentary signatures—exceeding the 233 needed—potentially for a vote as early as May 5. Bolojan refuses to resign, vowing to lead reforms for EU funds access, but traders see an 82.5% implied probability of his ouster by December 31, driven by the motion's strong backing and scant prospects for a stable majority amid ongoing instability. The vote's result will dictate near-term parliamentary dynamics, possibly triggering snap elections or new coalition talks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Volumen
$75,998Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's coalition government collapsed last week when the Social Democratic Party (PSD), its largest partner, withdrew support from Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's National Liberal Party (PNL)-led administration, prompting PSD ministers' resignations and leaving a minority government. PSD has since allied with far-right AUR to table a no-confidence motion, securing over 230 parliamentary signatures—exceeding the 233 needed—potentially for a vote as early as May 5. Bolojan refuses to resign, vowing to lead reforms for EU funds access, but traders see an 82.5% implied probability of his ouster by December 31, driven by the motion's strong backing and scant prospects for a stable majority amid ongoing instability. The vote's result will dictate near-term parliamentary dynamics, possibly triggering snap elections or new coalition talks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$75,998Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Romania's coalition government collapsed last week when the Social Democratic Party (PSD), its largest partner, withdrew support from Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's National Liberal Party (PNL)-led administration, prompting PSD ministers' resignations and leaving a minority government. PSD has since allied with far-right AUR to table a no-confidence motion, securing over 230 parliamentary signatures—exceeding the 233 needed—potentially for a vote as early as May 5. Bolojan refuses to resign, vowing to lead reforms for EU funds access, but traders see an 82.5% implied probability of his ouster by December 31, driven by the motion's strong backing and scant prospects for a stable majority amid ongoing instability. The vote's result will dictate near-term parliamentary dynamics, possibly triggering snap elections or new coalition talks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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