Romanian Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's minority government faces imminent collapse following the Social Democratic Party's (PSD) withdrawal of support on April 20, 2026, after a 97.7% internal vote amid disputes over his austerity measures. PSD ministers resigned, leaving Bolojan reliant on ad-hoc alliances with USR, UDMR, and national minorities. On April 27, PSD joined far-right AUR in announcing a no-confidence motion, claiming over 233 required signatures and potential for 260 votes, with a parliamentary vote possible in early May. President Nicușor Dan may seek alternatives or trigger snap elections if defeated. Traders price a 76.5% "Yes" probability for Bolojan's ouster by year-end, reflecting the coalition breakup's fragility and historical patterns of unstable minority governments in Romania's proportional representation system.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$64,255 Vol.
$64,255 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$64,255 Vol.
$64,255 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romanian Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's minority government faces imminent collapse following the Social Democratic Party's (PSD) withdrawal of support on April 20, 2026, after a 97.7% internal vote amid disputes over his austerity measures. PSD ministers resigned, leaving Bolojan reliant on ad-hoc alliances with USR, UDMR, and national minorities. On April 27, PSD joined far-right AUR in announcing a no-confidence motion, claiming over 233 required signatures and potential for 260 votes, with a parliamentary vote possible in early May. President Nicușor Dan may seek alternatives or trigger snap elections if defeated. Traders price a 76.5% "Yes" probability for Bolojan's ouster by year-end, reflecting the coalition breakup's fragility and historical patterns of unstable minority governments in Romania's proportional representation system.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Volumen
$64,255Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romanian Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's minority government faces imminent collapse following the Social Democratic Party's (PSD) withdrawal of support on April 20, 2026, after a 97.7% internal vote amid disputes over his austerity measures. PSD ministers resigned, leaving Bolojan reliant on ad-hoc alliances with USR, UDMR, and national minorities. On April 27, PSD joined far-right AUR in announcing a no-confidence motion, claiming over 233 required signatures and potential for 260 votes, with a parliamentary vote possible in early May. President Nicușor Dan may seek alternatives or trigger snap elections if defeated. Traders price a 76.5% "Yes" probability for Bolojan's ouster by year-end, reflecting the coalition breakup's fragility and historical patterns of unstable minority governments in Romania's proportional representation system.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$64,255Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Romanian Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's minority government faces imminent collapse following the Social Democratic Party's (PSD) withdrawal of support on April 20, 2026, after a 97.7% internal vote amid disputes over his austerity measures. PSD ministers resigned, leaving Bolojan reliant on ad-hoc alliances with USR, UDMR, and national minorities. On April 27, PSD joined far-right AUR in announcing a no-confidence motion, claiming over 233 required signatures and potential for 260 votes, with a parliamentary vote possible in early May. President Nicușor Dan may seek alternatives or trigger snap elections if defeated. Traders price a 76.5% "Yes" probability for Bolojan's ouster by year-end, reflecting the coalition breakup's fragility and historical patterns of unstable minority governments in Romania's proportional representation system.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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