Polymarket traders price a 57.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate target at its June 15-16 meeting, narrowly ahead of a 47.0% chance of a 25 basis point increase, with cuts at just 2.3% amid persistent inflationary pressures. The March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 4.6% year-on-year—the highest since September 2023—driven by 6.5% housing cost gains, up sharply from February's 3.7%, reinforcing the RBA's restrictive stance following its March hike to 4.10%. Steady March unemployment at 4.3% signals a tight labor market, supporting hike bets, though the May 5 decision looms as the key near-term catalyst that could recalibrate June expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin cambios 56%
Aumento 32%
Disminuir 2.3%
$19,379 Vol.
$19,379 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Disminuir
2%
Sin cambios
60%
Aumento
32%
Sin cambios 56%
Aumento 32%
Disminuir 2.3%
$19,379 Vol.
$19,379 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Disminuir
$6,143 Vol.
2%
Sin cambios
$6,556 Vol.
60%
Aumento
$6,680 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 57.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate target at its June 15-16 meeting, narrowly ahead of a 47.0% chance of a 25 basis point increase, with cuts at just 2.3% amid persistent inflationary pressures. The March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 4.6% year-on-year—the highest since September 2023—driven by 6.5% housing cost gains, up sharply from February's 3.7%, reinforcing the RBA's restrictive stance following its March hike to 4.10%. Steady March unemployment at 4.3% signals a tight labor market, supporting hike bets, though the May 5 decision looms as the key near-term catalyst that could recalibrate June expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volumen
$19,379Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 57.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate target at its June 15-16 meeting, narrowly ahead of a 47.0% chance of a 25 basis point increase, with cuts at just 2.3% amid persistent inflationary pressures. The March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 4.6% year-on-year—the highest since September 2023—driven by 6.5% housing cost gains, up sharply from February's 3.7%, reinforcing the RBA's restrictive stance following its March hike to 4.10%. Steady March unemployment at 4.3% signals a tight labor market, supporting hike bets, though the May 5 decision looms as the key near-term catalyst that could recalibrate June expectations.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Volumen
$19,379Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 57.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of Australia's cash rate target at its June 15-16 meeting, narrowly ahead of a 47.0% chance of a 25 basis point increase, with cuts at just 2.3% amid persistent inflationary pressures. The March 2026 Consumer Price Index surged to 4.6% year-on-year—the highest since September 2023—driven by 6.5% housing cost gains, up sharply from February's 3.7%, reinforcing the RBA's restrictive stance following its March hike to 4.10%. Steady March unemployment at 4.3% signals a tight labor market, supporting hike bets, though the May 5 decision looms as the key near-term catalyst that could recalibrate June expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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