With three matches left in the Primeira Liga season, trader consensus reflects a nail-biting race for 16th place and the relegation play-off against Liga Portugal 2's third-placed side, as Tondela (46.5%), Nacional (46.0%), Estrela da Amadora (43.0%), and Rio Ave (42.0%) share near-even implied probabilities amid razor-thin margins. After matchday 31 (April 29), Nacional sits 14th on 31 points, Estrela da Amadora 15th (28 pts), Casa Pia 16th (26 pts), and Tondela 17th (22 pts), while Rio Ave (12th, 34 pts) and Santa Clara (13th, 32 pts) risk sliding into the mix—a mere nine-point span vulnerable to maximum nine-point hauls. Recent results yielded no decisive separation, with these sides earning draws and narrow losses to higher table opponents, setting up pivotal fixtures like Casa Pia vs. Tondela on May 3 to dictate final standings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTondela 92%
Nacional 91%
Estrela da Amadora 85%
Rio Ave 81%
Tondela
92%
Nacional
91%
Estrela da Amadora
85%
Rio Ave
81%
Casa Pia
67%
Santa Clara
21%
Tondela 92%
Nacional 91%
Estrela da Amadora 85%
Rio Ave 81%
Tondela
92%
Nacional
91%
Estrela da Amadora
85%
Rio Ave
81%
Casa Pia
67%
Santa Clara
21%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 6, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With three matches left in the Primeira Liga season, trader consensus reflects a nail-biting race for 16th place and the relegation play-off against Liga Portugal 2's third-placed side, as Tondela (46.5%), Nacional (46.0%), Estrela da Amadora (43.0%), and Rio Ave (42.0%) share near-even implied probabilities amid razor-thin margins. After matchday 31 (April 29), Nacional sits 14th on 31 points, Estrela da Amadora 15th (28 pts), Casa Pia 16th (26 pts), and Tondela 17th (22 pts), while Rio Ave (12th, 34 pts) and Santa Clara (13th, 32 pts) risk sliding into the mix—a mere nine-point span vulnerable to maximum nine-point hauls. Recent results yielded no decisive separation, with these sides earning draws and narrow losses to higher table opponents, setting up pivotal fixtures like Casa Pia vs. Tondela on May 3 to dictate final standings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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