Peru's presidential runoff on June 7 featured a closely contested race between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez following a fragmented first round. Trader consensus centers on 70–75% turnout at 97.2% probability, reflecting the first-round figure of roughly 74% and observed patterns of modest decline in second rounds amid voter fatigue and smoother but less intense participation. Lower lines at polling stations and reduced urgency compared to the initial vote reinforced expectations of turnout in this range, consistent with historical runoff dynamics in Peru. Scenarios that could shift odds include stronger last-minute mobilization by either camp or adjustments once final official participation data from the National Office of Election Processes is released.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPeru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?
70–75% 97.2%
75–80% 1.6%
<70% 1.5%
80–85% <1%
$66,688 Vol.
$66,688 Vol.
<70%
2%
70–75%
97%
75–80%
2%
80–85%
1%
>85%
1%
70–75% 97.2%
75–80% 1.6%
<70% 1.5%
80–85% <1%
$66,688 Vol.
$66,688 Vol.
<70%
2%
70–75%
97%
75–80%
2%
80–85%
1%
>85%
1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Mercado abierto: May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Peru's presidential runoff on June 7 featured a closely contested race between Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez following a fragmented first round. Trader consensus centers on 70–75% turnout at 97.2% probability, reflecting the first-round figure of roughly 74% and observed patterns of modest decline in second rounds amid voter fatigue and smoother but less intense participation. Lower lines at polling stations and reduced urgency compared to the initial vote reinforced expectations of turnout in this range, consistent with historical runoff dynamics in Peru. Scenarios that could shift odds include stronger last-minute mobilization by either camp or adjustments once final official participation data from the National Office of Election Processes is released.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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