The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has maintained its benchmark Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchanged at 3.00% for one-year loans and 3.50% for five-year loans since its April 20 announcement—the 11th consecutive month without adjustment—aligning with trader consensus amid robust first-quarter GDP growth meeting policy targets. The 7-day reverse repo rate, the market's key policy benchmark, has held steady at 1.4% through daily open market operations, including recent medium-term lending facility (MLF) injections. Global banks like Goldman Sachs and Nomura recently withdrew 2026 rate-cut forecasts following a restrained Politburo statement on April 28, solidifying no-change positioning to 100%. A last-minute policy reversal before April 30 close remains theoretically possible but faces high barriers given economic stability and procedural norms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China en abril?
¿Cambio de tasa del Banco Popular de China en abril?
Sin cambios 100.0%
Aumento <1%
Reducción <1%
$76,928 Vol.
$76,928 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Aumento
No
Sin cambios
Sí
Reducción
No
Sin cambios 100.0%
Aumento <1%
Reducción <1%
$76,928 Vol.
$76,928 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Aumento
$28,079 Vol.
No
Sin cambios
$36,039 Vol.
Sí
Reducción
$12,809 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has maintained its benchmark Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchanged at 3.00% for one-year loans and 3.50% for five-year loans since its April 20 announcement—the 11th consecutive month without adjustment—aligning with trader consensus amid robust first-quarter GDP growth meeting policy targets. The 7-day reverse repo rate, the market's key policy benchmark, has held steady at 1.4% through daily open market operations, including recent medium-term lending facility (MLF) injections. Global banks like Goldman Sachs and Nomura recently withdrew 2026 rate-cut forecasts following a restrained Politburo statement on April 28, solidifying no-change positioning to 100%. A last-minute policy reversal before April 30 close remains theoretically possible but faces high barriers given economic stability and procedural norms.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volumen
$76,928Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has maintained its benchmark Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchanged at 3.00% for one-year loans and 3.50% for five-year loans since its April 20 announcement—the 11th consecutive month without adjustment—aligning with trader consensus amid robust first-quarter GDP growth meeting policy targets. The 7-day reverse repo rate, the market's key policy benchmark, has held steady at 1.4% through daily open market operations, including recent medium-term lending facility (MLF) injections. Global banks like Goldman Sachs and Nomura recently withdrew 2026 rate-cut forecasts following a restrained Politburo statement on April 28, solidifying no-change positioning to 100%. A last-minute policy reversal before April 30 close remains theoretically possible but faces high barriers given economic stability and procedural norms.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Volumen
$76,928Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has maintained its benchmark Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) unchanged at 3.00% for one-year loans and 3.50% for five-year loans since its April 20 announcement—the 11th consecutive month without adjustment—aligning with trader consensus amid robust first-quarter GDP growth meeting policy targets. The 7-day reverse repo rate, the market's key policy benchmark, has held steady at 1.4% through daily open market operations, including recent medium-term lending facility (MLF) injections. Global banks like Goldman Sachs and Nomura recently withdrew 2026 rate-cut forecasts following a restrained Politburo statement on April 28, solidifying no-change positioning to 100%. A last-minute policy reversal before April 30 close remains theoretically possible but faces high barriers given economic stability and procedural norms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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