Tensions between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban remain high following the February 2026 launch of Operation Ghazab-lil-Haq, with initial Pakistani airstrikes targeting alleged Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) hideouts in Kabul and Kandahar, including a controversial March strike on a Kabul drug rehabilitation center that Kabul claims killed over 400 civilians. China-brokered talks in early April yielded de-escalation pledges, shifting focus to border skirmishes along the Durand Line. On April 27, Pakistan struck Taliban positions after cross-border mortar fire injured civilians, prompting Kabul's accusations of attacks on a Kunar university killing four and wounding dozens. No verified action against Kabul in the past 30 days defines the fragile truce, with further diplomacy or TTP incidents posing escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Acción militar de Pakistán contra Kabul por...?
¿Acción militar de Pakistán contra Kabul por...?
$31,836 Vol.
30 abr 2026
30 de abril
3%
$31,836 Vol.
30 de abril
$950 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a drone, missile, or air strike within the municipality of Kabul by the specified date Afghanistan Time (GMT+4:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact within one of the 22 municipal districts of Kabul.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land within the municipality of Kabul or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Pakistani ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban remain high following the February 2026 launch of Operation Ghazab-lil-Haq, with initial Pakistani airstrikes targeting alleged Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) hideouts in Kabul and Kandahar, including a controversial March strike on a Kabul drug rehabilitation center that Kabul claims killed over 400 civilians. China-brokered talks in early April yielded de-escalation pledges, shifting focus to border skirmishes along the Durand Line. On April 27, Pakistan struck Taliban positions after cross-border mortar fire injured civilians, prompting Kabul's accusations of attacks on a Kunar university killing four and wounding dozens. No verified action against Kabul in the past 30 days defines the fragile truce, with further diplomacy or TTP incidents posing escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a drone, missile, or air strike within the municipality of Kabul by the specified date Afghanistan Time (GMT+4:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact within one of the 22 municipal districts of Kabul.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land within the municipality of Kabul or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Pakistani ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact within one of the 22 municipal districts of Kabul.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land within the municipality of Kabul or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Pakistani ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 2:07 PM ET
Volumen
$31,836Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a drone, missile, or air strike within the municipality of Kabul by the specified date Afghanistan Time (GMT+4:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact within one of the 22 municipal districts of Kabul.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land within the municipality of Kabul or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Pakistani ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Tensions between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban remain high following the February 2026 launch of Operation Ghazab-lil-Haq, with initial Pakistani airstrikes targeting alleged Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) hideouts in Kabul and Kandahar, including a controversial March strike on a Kabul drug rehabilitation center that Kabul claims killed over 400 civilians. China-brokered talks in early April yielded de-escalation pledges, shifting focus to border skirmishes along the Durand Line. On April 27, Pakistan struck Taliban positions after cross-border mortar fire injured civilians, prompting Kabul's accusations of attacks on a Kunar university killing four and wounding dozens. No verified action against Kabul in the past 30 days defines the fragile truce, with further diplomacy or TTP incidents posing escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan initiates a drone, missile, or air strike within the municipality of Kabul by the specified date Afghanistan Time (GMT+4:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact within one of the 22 municipal districts of Kabul.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land within the municipality of Kabul or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Pakistani ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Pakistani military forces that impact within one of the 22 municipal districts of Kabul.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land within the municipality of Kabul or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ground based ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Pakistani ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$31,836Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 2:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between Pakistan and the Afghan Taliban remain high following the February 2026 launch of Operation Ghazab-lil-Haq, with initial Pakistani airstrikes targeting alleged Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) hideouts in Kabul and Kandahar, including a controversial March strike on a Kabul drug rehabilitation center that Kabul claims killed over 400 civilians. China-brokered talks in early April yielded de-escalation pledges, shifting focus to border skirmishes along the Durand Line. On April 27, Pakistan struck Taliban positions after cross-border mortar fire injured civilians, prompting Kabul's accusations of attacks on a Kunar university killing four and wounding dozens. No verified action against Kabul in the past 30 days defines the fragile truce, with further diplomacy or TTP incidents posing escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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