Trader consensus gives "No" a slim 51.5% implied probability for a new MLB CBA by Dec. 1, 2026, reflecting deep divisions over a proposed salary cap and floor amid the current agreement's expiration. Recent reports indicate MLB and MLBPA will kick off formal negotiations within weeks, earlier than typical off-season timelines, but the union's bolstered war chest—now over $170 million—signals preparation for protracted talks similar to the 2021-22 lockout that delayed the prior deal until March. Historical precedent weighs toward delays, yet swift progress on revenue sharing or luxury tax tweaks could boost "Yes," while an early impasse on competitive balance tax reforms might solidify "No."
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus gives "No" a slim 51.5% implied probability for a new MLB CBA by Dec. 1, 2026, reflecting deep divisions over a proposed salary cap and floor amid the current agreement's expiration. Recent reports indicate MLB and MLBPA will kick off formal negotiations within weeks, earlier than typical off-season timelines, but the union's bolstered war chest—now over $170 million—signals preparation for protracted talks similar to the 2021-22 lockout that delayed the prior deal until March. Historical precedent weighs toward delays, yet swift progress on revenue sharing or luxury tax tweaks could boost "Yes," while an early impasse on competitive balance tax reforms might solidify "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Volumen
$6,183Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus gives "No" a slim 51.5% implied probability for a new MLB CBA by Dec. 1, 2026, reflecting deep divisions over a proposed salary cap and floor amid the current agreement's expiration. Recent reports indicate MLB and MLBPA will kick off formal negotiations within weeks, earlier than typical off-season timelines, but the union's bolstered war chest—now over $170 million—signals preparation for protracted talks similar to the 2021-22 lockout that delayed the prior deal until March. Historical precedent weighs toward delays, yet swift progress on revenue sharing or luxury tax tweaks could boost "Yes," while an early impasse on competitive balance tax reforms might solidify "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$6,183Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus gives "No" a slim 51.5% implied probability for a new MLB CBA by Dec. 1, 2026, reflecting deep divisions over a proposed salary cap and floor amid the current agreement's expiration. Recent reports indicate MLB and MLBPA will kick off formal negotiations within weeks, earlier than typical off-season timelines, but the union's bolstered war chest—now over $170 million—signals preparation for protracted talks similar to the 2021-22 lockout that delayed the prior deal until March. Historical precedent weighs toward delays, yet swift progress on revenue sharing or luxury tax tweaks could boost "Yes," while an early impasse on competitive balance tax reforms might solidify "No."
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes