Oklahoma City Thunder's commanding 65.5% implied probability as Western Conference favorites stems from their sweep of the No. 8 Phoenix Suns in the first round, capped by a 131-122 Game 4 victory showcasing efficient offense and deep bench production, while securing their third straight No. 1 seed during the regular season. San Antonio Spurs at 24.3% reflect their breakthrough 4-1 upset over the No. 7 Portland Trail Blazers—their first playoff series win since 2017—fueled by Victor Wembanyama's dominance and young core's two-way versatility as the No. 2 seed. Lower odds for Lakers (3.5%, leading Rockets 3-2), Nuggets (2.8%), Timberwolves (1.4%), and Rockets (0.7%) highlight ongoing first-round battles and tougher paths to the conference semifinals amid injury concerns and momentum shifts.