Narendra Modi’s position as India’s prime minister remains firmly entrenched through the end of 2026, reflected in the 90.8% trader consensus against his departure. Recent BJP gains in key state assembly elections, including a historic takeover of West Bengal, have further strengthened the party’s legislative and organizational dominance midway through Modi’s third term. Active diplomacy, including his current participation in the G7 summit and joint events with French President Macron, underscores continued leadership visibility and international engagement. No procedural triggers, health developments, or coalition fractures have emerged to threaten continuity before the 2029 national polls. Late-breaking events such as a sudden medical issue or major scandal remain the primary theoretical risks that could still shift the low implied probability of an early exit.