Recent numerical weather prediction models from major global forecasting centers converge on a minimum temperature of 19°C for Shanghai on June 9, underpinning the market’s strong 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Early June subtropical monsoon conditions typically produce overnight lows near 20°C, reinforced by current atmospheric patterns with minimal cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance exhibits limited spread around this value, aligning with observed trends and historical analogs for the date. A stronger-than-expected northerly flow or increased cloud cover could shift readings toward 18°C, though official station measurement protocols and model consensus make such deviations low-probability events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 9 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 9 de junio?
19°C 95%
18°C 5%
17°C <1%
15°C o menos <1%
$23,758 Vol.
$23,758 Vol.
9 jun 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
95%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
19°C 95%
18°C 5%
17°C <1%
15°C o menos <1%
$23,758 Vol.
$23,758 Vol.
9 jun 2026
15°C o menos
$996 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,729 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,255 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,598 Vol.
5%
19°C
$2,905 Vol.
95%
20°C
$3,746 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,319 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,318 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$754 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$617 Vol.
<1%
25°C o más
$1,521 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from major global forecasting centers converge on a minimum temperature of 19°C for Shanghai on June 9, underpinning the market’s strong 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Early June subtropical monsoon conditions typically produce overnight lows near 20°C, reinforced by current atmospheric patterns with minimal cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance exhibits limited spread around this value, aligning with observed trends and historical analogs for the date. A stronger-than-expected northerly flow or increased cloud cover could shift readings toward 18°C, though official station measurement protocols and model consensus make such deviations low-probability events.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volumen
$23,758Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from major global forecasting centers converge on a minimum temperature of 19°C for Shanghai on June 9, underpinning the market’s strong 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Early June subtropical monsoon conditions typically produce overnight lows near 20°C, reinforced by current atmospheric patterns with minimal cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance exhibits limited spread around this value, aligning with observed trends and historical analogs for the date. A stronger-than-expected northerly flow or increased cloud cover could shift readings toward 18°C, though official station measurement protocols and model consensus make such deviations low-probability events.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23,758Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:35 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from major global forecasting centers converge on a minimum temperature of 19°C for Shanghai on June 9, underpinning the market’s strong 94.5% implied probability for that outcome. Early June subtropical monsoon conditions typically produce overnight lows near 20°C, reinforced by current atmospheric patterns with minimal cold advection or clear-sky radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance exhibits limited spread around this value, aligning with observed trends and historical analogs for the date. A stronger-than-expected northerly flow or increased cloud cover could shift readings toward 18°C, though official station measurement protocols and model consensus make such deviations low-probability events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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