Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 11 will most likely fall in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C carrying the highest implied probability. Early-summer conditions under the East Asian monsoon bring persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows close to the seasonal norm of roughly 20–22 °C. Recent model runs show only modest day-to-day adjustments, with no strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky episode expected to push temperatures appreciably lower or higher. The tight clustering of market prices around these values reflects the narrow forecast spread and limited time remaining before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 11 de junio?
20°C 37%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 9.2%
14°C o menos
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
26%
20°C
37%
21°C
19%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C o más
<1%
20°C 37%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 9.2%
14°C o menos
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
26%
20°C
37%
21°C
19%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on June 11 will most likely fall in the 19–21 °C range, with 20 °C carrying the highest implied probability. Early-summer conditions under the East Asian monsoon bring persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping lows close to the seasonal norm of roughly 20–22 °C. Recent model runs show only modest day-to-day adjustments, with no strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky episode expected to push temperatures appreciably lower or higher. The tight clustering of market prices around these values reflects the narrow forecast spread and limited time remaining before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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