Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model agreement, absent significant cold-air intrusions or precipitation that would enhance radiational cooling, underpins the 97.4% market-implied probability for 16°C. The lowest temperature is measured at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift below this level would require an unforecasted surge in northerly flow or increased cloud cover, both assessed as low-probability based on the latest guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 9 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 9 de junio?
16°C 97.4%
15°C 2.6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,555 Vol.
$15,555 Vol.
9 jun 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
16°C 97.4%
15°C 2.6%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$15,555 Vol.
$15,555 Vol.
9 jun 2026
10°C o menos
$683 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$865 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$536 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$637 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$744 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,559 Vol.
3%
16°C
$3,149 Vol.
97%
17°C
$1,658 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,789 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,190 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$1,796 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model agreement, absent significant cold-air intrusions or precipitation that would enhance radiational cooling, underpins the 97.4% market-implied probability for 16°C. The lowest temperature is measured at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift below this level would require an unforecasted surge in northerly flow or increased cloud cover, both assessed as low-probability based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$15,555Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model agreement, absent significant cold-air intrusions or precipitation that would enhance radiational cooling, underpins the 97.4% market-implied probability for 16°C. The lowest temperature is measured at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift below this level would require an unforecasted surge in northerly flow or increased cloud cover, both assessed as low-probability based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,555Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate Seoul’s overnight low stabilizing near 16°C on June 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with early-June climatological averages of 14–17°C. This strong model agreement, absent significant cold-air intrusions or precipitation that would enhance radiational cooling, underpins the 97.4% market-implied probability for 16°C. The lowest temperature is measured at official stations between 3 a.m. and 9 a.m. local time. A realistic shift below this level would require an unforecasted surge in northerly flow or increased cloud cover, both assessed as low-probability based on the latest guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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