Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Seoul for June 11 near 15–17°C, anchoring the market’s close split between those outcomes. Factors differentiating the probabilities include potential radiational cooling under clearer skies versus modest warming from increased cloud cover or light showers, typical of early June conditions before full monsoon influence. Historical June minima average around 16°C, with small day-to-day variability driven by wind patterns and humidity. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours could shift the implied probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 11 de junio?
16°C 39%
17°C 24%
15°C 11.2%
18°C 5.3%
11°C o menos
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
15%
16°C
39%
17°C
24%
18°C
5%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C o más
1%
16°C 39%
17°C 24%
15°C 11.2%
18°C 5.3%
11°C o menos
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
15%
16°C
39%
17°C
24%
18°C
5%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate overnight lows in Seoul for June 11 near 15–17°C, anchoring the market’s close split between those outcomes. Factors differentiating the probabilities include potential radiational cooling under clearer skies versus modest warming from increased cloud cover or light showers, typical of early June conditions before full monsoon influence. Historical June minima average around 16°C, with small day-to-day variability driven by wind patterns and humidity. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours could shift the implied probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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