Recent Met Office and European model forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C for London on June 9, driving the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability for that outcome. Early June climatology supports overnight lows of 10–12°C under typical clear or partly cloudy conditions with light winds, consistent with current observational trends and model consensus showing limited cooling potential. Minor uncertainty remains from localized urban heat island effects or precise station readings, yet any shift below 9°C or above 11°C would require atypical atmospheric changes not currently projected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 9 de junio?
10°C 98.9%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
7°C <1%
$20,744 Vol.
$20,744 Vol.
4°C o menos
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
99%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 98.9%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
7°C <1%
$20,744 Vol.
$20,744 Vol.
4°C o menos
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
99%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C for London on June 9, driving the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability for that outcome. Early June climatology supports overnight lows of 10–12°C under typical clear or partly cloudy conditions with light winds, consistent with current observational trends and model consensus showing limited cooling potential. Minor uncertainty remains from localized urban heat island effects or precise station readings, yet any shift below 9°C or above 11°C would require atypical atmospheric changes not currently projected.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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