Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 75% implied probability for Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet getting engaged in 2026, driven by the complete absence of any confirmed public announcement or visible ring despite their three-year relationship hitting key milestones this year. Recent verified public appearances—courtside at the Knicks-Hawks playoff game on April 28 and Coachella Weekend 1 earlier in April—affirm they remain a couple amid periodic breakup rumors, but offer no engagement signals, tempering early January insider speculation about "talking marriage." With eight months left, their signature privacy around personal matters heightens uncertainty, as celebrity engagements typically break via statements or social media; traders see significant barriers absent a major catalyst like an awards-season reveal.