Trader consensus favors no prison time at 60.7% implied probability for YouTuber and streamer Jack Doherty, stemming from his November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on verified charges of felony possession of a controlled substance (upgraded to cocaine at a January 2026 hearing), misdemeanor cannabis possession under 20 grams, and resisting arrest without violence. As a first-time offender, Florida's pretrial intervention programs—common for non-violent drug cases—position diversion or probation as the frontrunner path, avoiding incarceration. Yet, maximum penalties up to seven years sustain notable support for 5+ years (36.4%) and 2-5 years (23.0%), amid his court absence waiver and pending trial hearing on May 18, 2026, per Miami-Dade docket, underscoring volatility in celebrity legal outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Jack Doherty?
¿Tiempo en prisión de Jack Doherty?
2-5 años 18.8%
<2 años 5.1%
Sin tiempo en prisión 0
Más de 5 años 0
$18,487 Vol.
$18,487 Vol.
Sin tiempo en prisión
55%
<2 años
5%
2-5 años
19%
Más de 5 años
27%
2-5 años 18.8%
<2 años 5.1%
Sin tiempo en prisión 0
Más de 5 años 0
$18,487 Vol.
$18,487 Vol.
Sin tiempo en prisión
55%
<2 años
5%
2-5 años
19%
Más de 5 años
27%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 20, 2025, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Jack Doherty in relation to these charges by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in relation to these charges, regardless of any appeals. If the charges are tried separately, this market will stay open until the first sentence has been rendered for all three charges and will resolve based on the cumulative sentence imposed across all three charges. If sentencing has taken place for some, but not all, of these charges on October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on sentencing up to that point.
If Doherty is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if his sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Doherty is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Florida court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors no prison time at 60.7% implied probability for YouTuber and streamer Jack Doherty, stemming from his November 2025 Miami Beach arrest on verified charges of felony possession of a controlled substance (upgraded to cocaine at a January 2026 hearing), misdemeanor cannabis possession under 20 grams, and resisting arrest without violence. As a first-time offender, Florida's pretrial intervention programs—common for non-violent drug cases—position diversion or probation as the frontrunner path, avoiding incarceration. Yet, maximum penalties up to seven years sustain notable support for 5+ years (36.4%) and 2-5 years (23.0%), amid his court absence waiver and pending trial hearing on May 18, 2026, per Miami-Dade docket, underscoring volatility in celebrity legal outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes