Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, prompting the Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March amid an interim leadership council involving President Masoud Pezeshkian. Mojtaba has yet to appear publicly two months later, fueling rumors of severe injuries—including facial burns, leg surgeries, and limited speech—from the same strikes, with decisions reportedly approved via audio and statements issued in writing. Yesterday's defiant message read on state TV, vowing control over the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear safeguards, and resistance to U.S. presence, signals continuity, but ongoing war escalation and failed talks sustain trader uncertainty over potential further leadership transitions or power struggles within the regime.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$12,191,084 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de mayo
7%
30 de junio
14%
31 de diciembre
34%
$12,191,084 Vol.
31 de mayo
$1,202,801 Vol.
7%
30 de junio
$718,462 Vol.
14%
31 de diciembre
$2,073,940 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, prompting the Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March amid an interim leadership council involving President Masoud Pezeshkian. Mojtaba has yet to appear publicly two months later, fueling rumors of severe injuries—including facial burns, leg surgeries, and limited speech—from the same strikes, with decisions reportedly approved via audio and statements issued in writing. Yesterday's defiant message read on state TV, vowing control over the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear safeguards, and resistance to U.S. presence, signals continuity, but ongoing war escalation and failed talks sustain trader uncertainty over potential further leadership transitions or power struggles within the regime.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
Volumen
$12,191,084Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, prompting the Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March amid an interim leadership council involving President Masoud Pezeshkian. Mojtaba has yet to appear publicly two months later, fueling rumors of severe injuries—including facial burns, leg surgeries, and limited speech—from the same strikes, with decisions reportedly approved via audio and statements issued in writing. Yesterday's defiant message read on state TV, vowing control over the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear safeguards, and resistance to U.S. presence, signals continuity, but ongoing war escalation and failed talks sustain trader uncertainty over potential further leadership transitions or power struggles within the regime.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$12,191,084Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in late February 2026 U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on Tehran, prompting the Assembly of Experts to appoint his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor in early March amid an interim leadership council involving President Masoud Pezeshkian. Mojtaba has yet to appear publicly two months later, fueling rumors of severe injuries—including facial burns, leg surgeries, and limited speech—from the same strikes, with decisions reportedly approved via audio and statements issued in writing. Yesterday's defiant message read on state TV, vowing control over the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear safeguards, and resistance to U.S. presence, signals continuity, but ongoing war escalation and failed talks sustain trader uncertainty over potential further leadership transitions or power struggles within the regime.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes