Polymarket traders are closely split on SpaceX's IPO proceeds, with 80-90 billion dollars at 50% implied probability edging out 50-60 billion dollars at 47%, reflecting uncertainty around the company's ambitious $75 billion raise target at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following its early April confidential S-1 filing. This trader consensus stems from rapid valuation escalation—$800 billion in December 2025 tenders to over $1.75 trillion post-xAI merger synergies and Starlink revenue growth—tempered by equity market volatility, Elon Musk's super-voting share structure limiting investor influence, and lofty performance hurdles in his compensation package. Key swing factors include roadshow demand and macro risk appetite ahead of the anticipated June listing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$137,512 Vol.
$137,512 Vol.
<40 mil millones
13%
40-50B
10%
50-60 mil millones
48%
60-70 mil millones
9%
70-80 mil millones
31%
80-90 mil millones
50%
90-100 mil millones
4%
100-110 mil millones
4%
110-120B
4%
120 mil millones o más
9%
$137,512 Vol.
$137,512 Vol.
<40 mil millones
$9,648 Vol.
13%
40-50B
$5,582 Vol.
10%
50-60 mil millones
$33,082 Vol.
48%
60-70 mil millones
$14,233 Vol.
9%
70-80 mil millones
$24,537 Vol.
31%
80-90 mil millones
$15,482 Vol.
50%
90-100 mil millones
$10,657 Vol.
4%
100-110 mil millones
$7,478 Vol.
4%
110-120B
$9,290 Vol.
4%
120 mil millones o más
$7,523 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders are closely split on SpaceX's IPO proceeds, with 80-90 billion dollars at 50% implied probability edging out 50-60 billion dollars at 47%, reflecting uncertainty around the company's ambitious $75 billion raise target at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following its early April confidential S-1 filing. This trader consensus stems from rapid valuation escalation—$800 billion in December 2025 tenders to over $1.75 trillion post-xAI merger synergies and Starlink revenue growth—tempered by equity market volatility, Elon Musk's super-voting share structure limiting investor influence, and lofty performance hurdles in his compensation package. Key swing factors include roadshow demand and macro risk appetite ahead of the anticipated June listing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volumen
$137,512Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders are closely split on SpaceX's IPO proceeds, with 80-90 billion dollars at 50% implied probability edging out 50-60 billion dollars at 47%, reflecting uncertainty around the company's ambitious $75 billion raise target at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following its early April confidential S-1 filing. This trader consensus stems from rapid valuation escalation—$800 billion in December 2025 tenders to over $1.75 trillion post-xAI merger synergies and Starlink revenue growth—tempered by equity market volatility, Elon Musk's super-voting share structure limiting investor influence, and lofty performance hurdles in his compensation package. Key swing factors include roadshow demand and macro risk appetite ahead of the anticipated June listing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$137,512Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders are closely split on SpaceX's IPO proceeds, with 80-90 billion dollars at 50% implied probability edging out 50-60 billion dollars at 47%, reflecting uncertainty around the company's ambitious $75 billion raise target at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following its early April confidential S-1 filing. This trader consensus stems from rapid valuation escalation—$800 billion in December 2025 tenders to over $1.75 trillion post-xAI merger synergies and Starlink revenue growth—tempered by equity market volatility, Elon Musk's super-voting share structure limiting investor influence, and lofty performance hurdles in his compensation package. Key swing factors include roadshow demand and macro risk appetite ahead of the anticipated June listing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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