Polymarket's mindshare, measured by Kaito AI as share-of-voice in crypto Twitter narratives, has recently slipped below 60 percent amid Kalshi's rising social buzz and fragmented attention despite Polymarket's record weekly volumes exceeding $1.9 billion. The February 2026 Kaito partnership enabling self-referential attention markets drove early volume but has not produced a sustained surge, with traders assigning low odds to hitting 85 percent or higher by June 30 due to fee shifts favoring institutions, geopolitical betting controversies, and absent viral catalysts. Key near-term factors include potential token generation event rumors, app store momentum, and any high-profile election or volume spike coverage before month-end that could boost positive mentions. Resolution depends on Kaito's final aggregated snapshot.