Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C in Warsaw on June 9, driven by southerly airflow advecting warmer air masses under light winds and partly cloudy conditions with possible showers. These factors align with the market-implied 55% probability for 29°C as the leading outcome, followed by 30°C at 18.5% and 28°C at 16.5%, reflecting trader consensus on limited intensification potential amid typical early June climatology. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with historical analogs supporting highs in this narrow range absent stronger high-pressure dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 9?
29°C 55%
28°C 27%
30°C 16%
27°C 3.5%
$23,210 Vol.
$23,210 Vol.
9 jun 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
27%
29°C
55%
30°C
16%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 55%
28°C 27%
30°C 16%
27°C 3.5%
$23,210 Vol.
$23,210 Vol.
9 jun 2026
24°C or below
$2,393 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,632 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,144 Vol.
1%
27°C
$4,085 Vol.
4%
28°C
$2,498 Vol.
27%
29°C
$3,127 Vol.
55%
30°C
$2,353 Vol.
16%
31°C
$2,325 Vol.
1%
32°C
$928 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$429 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$329 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C in Warsaw on June 9, driven by southerly airflow advecting warmer air masses under light winds and partly cloudy conditions with possible showers. These factors align with the market-implied 55% probability for 29°C as the leading outcome, followed by 30°C at 18.5% and 28°C at 16.5%, reflecting trader consensus on limited intensification potential amid typical early June climatology. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with historical analogs supporting highs in this narrow range absent stronger high-pressure dominance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$23,210Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C in Warsaw on June 9, driven by southerly airflow advecting warmer air masses under light winds and partly cloudy conditions with possible showers. These factors align with the market-implied 55% probability for 29°C as the leading outcome, followed by 30°C at 18.5% and 28°C at 16.5%, reflecting trader consensus on limited intensification potential amid typical early June climatology. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with historical analogs supporting highs in this narrow range absent stronger high-pressure dominance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23,210Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum near 28–29°C in Warsaw on June 9, driven by southerly airflow advecting warmer air masses under light winds and partly cloudy conditions with possible showers. These factors align with the market-implied 55% probability for 29°C as the leading outcome, followed by 30°C at 18.5% and 28°C at 16.5%, reflecting trader consensus on limited intensification potential amid typical early June climatology. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with historical analogs supporting highs in this narrow range absent stronger high-pressure dominance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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