Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 11 point to persistent cloud cover and light scattered showers associated with the onset of the tsuyu rainy season, which limits solar heating and keeps maximum temperatures near the seasonal normal of 25.6°C. Model consensus shows modest variability in timing and coverage of precipitation, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 24°C and 25°C. Above-normal summer temperatures projected for 2026 provide a slight upward bias, yet early-month climatology and current steering patterns favor values at or below the long-term average. Updated JMA guidance and observational data on the 10th will further refine the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
25°C 35%
24°C 31%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
31%
25°C
35%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
24°C 31%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
31%
25°C
35%
26°C
14%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for June 11 point to persistent cloud cover and light scattered showers associated with the onset of the tsuyu rainy season, which limits solar heating and keeps maximum temperatures near the seasonal normal of 25.6°C. Model consensus shows modest variability in timing and coverage of precipitation, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 24°C and 25°C. Above-normal summer temperatures projected for 2026 provide a slight upward bias, yet early-month climatology and current steering patterns favor values at or below the long-term average. Updated JMA guidance and observational data on the 10th will further refine the range ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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