Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature in Shenzhen most likely between 27°C and 28°C on June 9 under typical early-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered showers, high humidity, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This consensus from official monitoring supports the market's narrow spread, where traders assign nearly equal weight to those two outcomes while assigning low probability to 29°C or higher. Historical June averages near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and precipitation reduce the chance of exceeding typical early-month peaks. Resolution depends on verified observations from the China Meteorological Administration, with any late-model shifts in rainfall or insolation capable of tipping the final reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 9?
28°C 65%
27°C 53%
29°C 5%
26°C <1%
$112,317 Vol.
$112,317 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
53%
28°C
50%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 65%
27°C 53%
29°C 5%
26°C <1%
$112,317 Vol.
$112,317 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
53%
28°C
50%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a maximum temperature in Shenzhen most likely between 27°C and 28°C on June 9 under typical early-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with scattered showers, high humidity, and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. This consensus from official monitoring supports the market's narrow spread, where traders assign nearly equal weight to those two outcomes while assigning low probability to 29°C or higher. Historical June averages near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and precipitation reduce the chance of exceeding typical early-month peaks. Resolution depends on verified observations from the China Meteorological Administration, with any late-model shifts in rainfall or insolation capable of tipping the final reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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