Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Shanghai's June 11 maximum temperature will likely peak near 30–32 °C, driven by typical early-summer conditions with moderate solar heating, variable cloud cover, and light southerly flow ahead of the East Asian monsoon. The closely bunched market probabilities around 29–31 °C reflect small differences in predicted timing and extent of any daytime showers or thicker cloud decks, which can suppress afternoon highs by 1–2 °C. Shanghai's urban heat island and high humidity further amplify sensitivity to these variables, while longer-term climatology shows early-June maxima averaging 27–28 °C with increasing year-to-year variability. Updated model runs expected later today will provide the next key data point for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 11?
30°C 31%
29°C 24%
31°C 23%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
24%
30°C
31%
31°C
23%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
29°C 24%
31°C 23%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
24%
30°C
31%
31°C
23%
32°C
12%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Shanghai's June 11 maximum temperature will likely peak near 30–32 °C, driven by typical early-summer conditions with moderate solar heating, variable cloud cover, and light southerly flow ahead of the East Asian monsoon. The closely bunched market probabilities around 29–31 °C reflect small differences in predicted timing and extent of any daytime showers or thicker cloud decks, which can suppress afternoon highs by 1–2 °C. Shanghai's urban heat island and high humidity further amplify sensitivity to these variables, while longer-term climatology shows early-June maxima averaging 27–28 °C with increasing year-to-year variability. Updated model runs expected later today will provide the next key data point for traders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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