Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a mix of guidance for Qingdao on June 11, with some ensemble members indicating potential warming from southerly flow and reduced cloud cover that could push daytime highs to 30–31°C, while others favor more typical early-summer marine influence keeping peaks near 24–26°C. This divergence in short-range forecasts, combined with historical variability where June maxima occasionally reach the upper 20s, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C and 31°C or higher. Coastal sea breezes and regional humidity levels add further uncertainty to maximum temperature outcomes, with updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
30°C 32%
31°C or higher 31%
29°C 18%
28°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jun 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
18%
30°C
32%
31°C or higher
31%
30°C 32%
31°C or higher 31%
29°C 18%
28°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jun 2026
21°C or below
$517 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$53 Vol.
1%
26°C
$18 Vol.
2%
27°C
$9 Vol.
2%
28°C
$3 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$118 Vol.
32%
31°C or higher
$118 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a mix of guidance for Qingdao on June 11, with some ensemble members indicating potential warming from southerly flow and reduced cloud cover that could push daytime highs to 30–31°C, while others favor more typical early-summer marine influence keeping peaks near 24–26°C. This divergence in short-range forecasts, combined with historical variability where June maxima occasionally reach the upper 20s, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C and 31°C or higher. Coastal sea breezes and regional humidity levels add further uncertainty to maximum temperature outcomes, with updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volumen
$856Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a mix of guidance for Qingdao on June 11, with some ensemble members indicating potential warming from southerly flow and reduced cloud cover that could push daytime highs to 30–31°C, while others favor more typical early-summer marine influence keeping peaks near 24–26°C. This divergence in short-range forecasts, combined with historical variability where June maxima occasionally reach the upper 20s, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C and 31°C or higher. Coastal sea breezes and regional humidity levels add further uncertainty to maximum temperature outcomes, with updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$856Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show a mix of guidance for Qingdao on June 11, with some ensemble members indicating potential warming from southerly flow and reduced cloud cover that could push daytime highs to 30–31°C, while others favor more typical early-summer marine influence keeping peaks near 24–26°C. This divergence in short-range forecasts, combined with historical variability where June maxima occasionally reach the upper 20s, underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 30°C and 31°C or higher. Coastal sea breezes and regional humidity levels add further uncertainty to maximum temperature outcomes, with updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the range before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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