Recent model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a modest warm advection from inland Shandong under light southwesterly flow, positioning Qingdao’s June 10 maximum near 27–28 °C. Maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable cloud cover introduce small uncertainties that keep the two outcomes nearly tied at roughly 32 % and 30 % implied probability. Ensemble spread and typical early-June variability around the 24–26 °C climatological baseline further support the narrow distribution, with lower probabilities assigned to 29 °C or above under stronger heating or clearer skies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 10?
27°C 33%
28°C 30%
29°C 22%
26°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
33%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 33%
28°C 30%
29°C 22%
26°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
33%
28°C
30%
29°C
22%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a modest warm advection from inland Shandong under light southwesterly flow, positioning Qingdao’s June 10 maximum near 27–28 °C. Maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea and variable cloud cover introduce small uncertainties that keep the two outcomes nearly tied at roughly 32 % and 30 % implied probability. Ensemble spread and typical early-June variability around the 24–26 °C climatological baseline further support the narrow distribution, with lower probabilities assigned to 29 °C or above under stronger heating or clearer skies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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