Current weather models and observations position an 18°C high as the dominant outcome for Munich on June 9, with European and German forecasting centers converging on a daytime maximum near that threshold amid stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow. Early morning readings around 16–17°C, combined with modest daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions, align with this market-implied probability exceeding 87%. June climatology typically features highs of 21–23°C, yet the current setup reflects a cooler-than-average airmass that has limited afternoon warming. Updated model runs show low spread, reducing upside risk to 19°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes improbable absent rapid clearing or unexpected advection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 9?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 9?
18°C 93%
19°C 7%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$51,682 Vol.
$51,682 Vol.
9 jun 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
93%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 93%
19°C 7%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$51,682 Vol.
$51,682 Vol.
9 jun 2026
14°C or below
$1,730 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,399 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$10,207 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$7,719 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$7,311 Vol.
93%
19°C
$5,011 Vol.
7%
20°C
$4,363 Vol.
1%
21°C
$4,808 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,561 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,883 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$2,410 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models and observations position an 18°C high as the dominant outcome for Munich on June 9, with European and German forecasting centers converging on a daytime maximum near that threshold amid stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow. Early morning readings around 16–17°C, combined with modest daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions, align with this market-implied probability exceeding 87%. June climatology typically features highs of 21–23°C, yet the current setup reflects a cooler-than-average airmass that has limited afternoon warming. Updated model runs show low spread, reducing upside risk to 19°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes improbable absent rapid clearing or unexpected advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$51,682Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models and observations position an 18°C high as the dominant outcome for Munich on June 9, with European and German forecasting centers converging on a daytime maximum near that threshold amid stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow. Early morning readings around 16–17°C, combined with modest daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions, align with this market-implied probability exceeding 87%. June climatology typically features highs of 21–23°C, yet the current setup reflects a cooler-than-average airmass that has limited afternoon warming. Updated model runs show low spread, reducing upside risk to 19°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes improbable absent rapid clearing or unexpected advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$51,682Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current weather models and observations position an 18°C high as the dominant outcome for Munich on June 9, with European and German forecasting centers converging on a daytime maximum near that threshold amid stable high pressure and light northeasterly flow. Early morning readings around 16–17°C, combined with modest daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions, align with this market-implied probability exceeding 87%. June climatology typically features highs of 21–23°C, yet the current setup reflects a cooler-than-average airmass that has limited afternoon warming. Updated model runs show low spread, reducing upside risk to 19°C or higher while keeping lower outcomes improbable absent rapid clearing or unexpected advection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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