Forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure influence over southern Germany on June 15, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 20–22°C in Munich. Light westerly winds, limited cloud cover, and no approaching frontal systems or significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses underpin trader consensus around 21–22°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering with low spread, reflecting modest uncertainty from minor variations in daytime heating and urban effects, while probabilities for 23°C or higher remain subdued absent any heat advection signals in recent runs. Updated model outputs through early June 14 continue to anchor these near-term odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 45%
21°C 29%
23°C 18%
20°C 6%
$15,801 Vol.
$15,801 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
29%
22°C
45%
23°C
18%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
21°C 29%
23°C 18%
20°C 6%
$15,801 Vol.
$15,801 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
29%
22°C
45%
23°C
18%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure influence over southern Germany on June 15, 2026, supporting maximum temperatures near the seasonal average of 20–22°C in Munich. Light westerly winds, limited cloud cover, and no approaching frontal systems or significant advection of warmer or cooler air masses underpin trader consensus around 21–22°C outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering with low spread, reflecting modest uncertainty from minor variations in daytime heating and urban effects, while probabilities for 23°C or higher remain subdued absent any heat advection signals in recent runs. Updated model outputs through early June 14 continue to anchor these near-term odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes