Current forecast consensus from major models positions Munich's June 15 high near 21–23°C, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (38.5%) and 21°C (28.0%). Recent runs from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate westerly flow and moderate pressure gradients limiting daytime warming, with highs tempered by partial cloud cover and light winds. Historical June averages of 21–22°C provide climatological context, while short-range model agreement reduces uncertainty around the peak reading. Minor spreads in guidance (some outputs near 20°C, others 23°C) explain the secondary probabilities, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations. Updated model cycles ahead of the 15th remain the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 39%
21°C 28%
23°C 16%
20°C 6%
$15,327 Vol.
$15,327 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
28%
22°C
39%
23°C
16%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 28%
23°C 16%
20°C 6%
$15,327 Vol.
$15,327 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
28%
22°C
39%
23°C
16%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from major models positions Munich's June 15 high near 21–23°C, driving the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C (38.5%) and 21°C (28.0%). Recent runs from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate westerly flow and moderate pressure gradients limiting daytime warming, with highs tempered by partial cloud cover and light winds. Historical June averages of 21–22°C provide climatological context, while short-range model agreement reduces uncertainty around the peak reading. Minor spreads in guidance (some outputs near 20°C, others 23°C) explain the secondary probabilities, with resolution hinging on official maximum observations. Updated model cycles ahead of the 15th remain the key near-term catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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