Recent forecast guidance from European models, including indications of thundery showers and increased cloud cover over southern Germany, has concentrated trader sentiment on maximum temperatures of 15–17°C for Munich on June 11. These conditions are expected to limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings near or slightly below the early-June climatological average of 21–22°C. Market-implied odds favor 16°C as the mode, reflecting model consensus on modest instability and westerly flow, while residual spread in ensemble members accounts for the close probabilities on adjacent outcomes. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and global ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution by official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 11 de junio?
16°C 35%
17°C 31%
15°C 24%
14°C 5%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
24%
16°C
35%
17°C
31%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 35%
17°C 31%
15°C 24%
14°C 5%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
24%
16°C
35%
17°C
31%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models, including indications of thundery showers and increased cloud cover over southern Germany, has concentrated trader sentiment on maximum temperatures of 15–17°C for Munich on June 11. These conditions are expected to limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, keeping readings near or slightly below the early-June climatological average of 21–22°C. Market-implied odds favor 16°C as the mode, reflecting model consensus on modest instability and westerly flow, while residual spread in ensemble members accounts for the close probabilities on adjacent outcomes. Updated runs from the German Weather Service and global ensembles in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution by official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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