Recent IMD observations and model guidance indicate ongoing above-normal heat across northwest India, with Lucknow maxima near 40–41°C in early June amid clear skies and weak westerlies. However, the southwest monsoon’s northward advance—having reached Kerala by June 4—introduces increasing moisture and cloud cover that traders expect to suppress peak temperatures on June 11 through reduced insolation and scattered pre-monsoon showers. Ensemble forecasts show modest cooling potential from enhanced humidity and a possible trough, keeping most outcomes clustered tightly around 35–37°C. Resolution hinges on the India Meteorological Department’s official 24-hour maximum recorded at Lucknow’s observatory, where even small shifts in convective activity or wind patterns could tip the result within the narrow 34–38°C range currently dominating market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 11 de junio?
35°C 26%
36°C 21%
34°C 18%
37°C 13%
33°C o menos
5%
34°C
18%
35°C
24%
36°C
21%
37°C
13%
38°C
10%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C o más
<1%
35°C 26%
36°C 21%
34°C 18%
37°C 13%
33°C o menos
5%
34°C
18%
35°C
24%
36°C
21%
37°C
13%
38°C
10%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent IMD observations and model guidance indicate ongoing above-normal heat across northwest India, with Lucknow maxima near 40–41°C in early June amid clear skies and weak westerlies. However, the southwest monsoon’s northward advance—having reached Kerala by June 4—introduces increasing moisture and cloud cover that traders expect to suppress peak temperatures on June 11 through reduced insolation and scattered pre-monsoon showers. Ensemble forecasts show modest cooling potential from enhanced humidity and a possible trough, keeping most outcomes clustered tightly around 35–37°C. Resolution hinges on the India Meteorological Department’s official 24-hour maximum recorded at Lucknow’s observatory, where even small shifts in convective activity or wind patterns could tip the result within the narrow 34–38°C range currently dominating market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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