Numerical weather models from major forecasting centers project a daytime maximum of 23–24°C for Istanbul on June 9, reflecting moderate northerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the moderating effect of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Ensemble spreads remain tight, keeping the odds of exceeding 25°C low without unexpected warming or lighter winds. This consensus aligns with climatological norms for early June, when typical highs hover near 25°C but rarely surge higher amid prevailing sea breezes. Traders have priced 23°C and 24°C as the clear leaders based on these stable signals, with resolution hinging on official observations once the day concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 9?
23°C 51%
24°C 49%
25°C 11%
26°C <1%
$15,384 Vol.
$15,384 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
45%
24°C
49%
25°C
11%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 51%
24°C 49%
25°C 11%
26°C <1%
$15,384 Vol.
$15,384 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
45%
24°C
49%
25°C
11%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather models from major forecasting centers project a daytime maximum of 23–24°C for Istanbul on June 9, reflecting moderate northerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the moderating effect of the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Ensemble spreads remain tight, keeping the odds of exceeding 25°C low without unexpected warming or lighter winds. This consensus aligns with climatological norms for early June, when typical highs hover near 25°C but rarely surge higher amid prevailing sea breezes. Traders have priced 23°C and 24°C as the clear leaders based on these stable signals, with resolution hinging on official observations once the day concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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