Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27°C on June 9 as the most likely outcome, driven by persistent cloud cover, passing showers, and overcast conditions that limit daytime heating. June climatology typically features highs near 30–31°C with high humidity, yet recent model consensus shows suppressed temperatures from thunderstorm activity and reduced solar radiation. Trader sentiment aligns with these official guidance updates, assigning over 80% implied probability to 27°C while assigning minimal odds to 29°C or higher. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute forecast revisions from the Observatory will determine final resolution against the recorded peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 9?
27°C 81.0%
28°C 19%
29°C 1.3%
30°C <1%
$225,754 Vol.
$225,754 Vol.
9 jun 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
81%
28°C
19%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 81.0%
28°C 19%
29°C 1.3%
30°C <1%
$225,754 Vol.
$225,754 Vol.
9 jun 2026
23°C or below
$11,127 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,711 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$8,099 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$14,443 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$43,639 Vol.
81%
28°C
$23,903 Vol.
19%
29°C
$27,711 Vol.
1%
30°C
$25,683 Vol.
1%
31°C
$21,874 Vol.
1%
32°C
$27,077 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$18,774 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27°C on June 9 as the most likely outcome, driven by persistent cloud cover, passing showers, and overcast conditions that limit daytime heating. June climatology typically features highs near 30–31°C with high humidity, yet recent model consensus shows suppressed temperatures from thunderstorm activity and reduced solar radiation. Trader sentiment aligns with these official guidance updates, assigning over 80% implied probability to 27°C while assigning minimal odds to 29°C or higher. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute forecast revisions from the Observatory will determine final resolution against the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$225,754Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27°C on June 9 as the most likely outcome, driven by persistent cloud cover, passing showers, and overcast conditions that limit daytime heating. June climatology typically features highs near 30–31°C with high humidity, yet recent model consensus shows suppressed temperatures from thunderstorm activity and reduced solar radiation. Trader sentiment aligns with these official guidance updates, assigning over 80% implied probability to 27°C while assigning minimal odds to 29°C or higher. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute forecast revisions from the Observatory will determine final resolution against the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$225,754Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27°C on June 9 as the most likely outcome, driven by persistent cloud cover, passing showers, and overcast conditions that limit daytime heating. June climatology typically features highs near 30–31°C with high humidity, yet recent model consensus shows suppressed temperatures from thunderstorm activity and reduced solar radiation. Trader sentiment aligns with these official guidance updates, assigning over 80% implied probability to 27°C while assigning minimal odds to 29°C or higher. Upcoming afternoon observations and any last-minute forecast revisions from the Observatory will determine final resolution against the recorded peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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