Ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies currently place Chengdu’s June 9 daytime maximum near 30 °C, consistent with early-summer monsoon transition conditions that bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers capable of limiting peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows average June highs of 28–30 °C in the Sichuan basin, with occasional excursions to 31 °C when clearer skies allow stronger insolation. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow range, reducing the likelihood of 32 °C or higher while keeping 29 °C or below as secondary possibilities if afternoon convection strengthens. The market-implied 84 % probability on 30 °C reflects trader assessment of these stable forecast signals and the narrow uncertainty window remaining before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 9?
30°C 98.0%
31°C 2.6%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
$45,046 Vol.
$45,046 Vol.
9 jun 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
98%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 98.0%
31°C 2.6%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
$45,046 Vol.
$45,046 Vol.
9 jun 2026
23°C or below
$2,346 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,456 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,960 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,127 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,970 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,043 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$7,562 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,511 Vol.
98%
31°C
$4,837 Vol.
3%
32°C
$3,958 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$4,148 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies currently place Chengdu’s June 9 daytime maximum near 30 °C, consistent with early-summer monsoon transition conditions that bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers capable of limiting peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows average June highs of 28–30 °C in the Sichuan basin, with occasional excursions to 31 °C when clearer skies allow stronger insolation. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow range, reducing the likelihood of 32 °C or higher while keeping 29 °C or below as secondary possibilities if afternoon convection strengthens. The market-implied 84 % probability on 30 °C reflects trader assessment of these stable forecast signals and the narrow uncertainty window remaining before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$45,046Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies currently place Chengdu’s June 9 daytime maximum near 30 °C, consistent with early-summer monsoon transition conditions that bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers capable of limiting peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows average June highs of 28–30 °C in the Sichuan basin, with occasional excursions to 31 °C when clearer skies allow stronger insolation. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow range, reducing the likelihood of 32 °C or higher while keeping 29 °C or below as secondary possibilities if afternoon convection strengthens. The market-implied 84 % probability on 30 °C reflects trader assessment of these stable forecast signals and the narrow uncertainty window remaining before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$45,046Fecha de finalización
9 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies currently place Chengdu’s June 9 daytime maximum near 30 °C, consistent with early-summer monsoon transition conditions that bring increased cloud cover and scattered showers capable of limiting peak solar heating. Historical climatology shows average June highs of 28–30 °C in the Sichuan basin, with occasional excursions to 31 °C when clearer skies allow stronger insolation. Recent model runs have converged on this narrow range, reducing the likelihood of 32 °C or higher while keeping 29 °C or below as secondary possibilities if afternoon convection strengthens. The market-implied 84 % probability on 30 °C reflects trader assessment of these stable forecast signals and the narrow uncertainty window remaining before official daily maximum readings are finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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