Recent numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate typical early-June conditions over the Sichuan Basin, with daily maximum temperatures most likely in the 28–30°C range amid moderate humidity and scattered showers. These outcomes align with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around those thresholds, reflecting model consensus on steering patterns and limited daytime heating from cloud cover. Climatological baselines show June highs averaging near 29°C, while recent observational trends and ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing that could nudge readings slightly lower or permit brief spikes near 31°C. Updated short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
29°C 25%
28°C 24%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
26°C or below
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
24%
29°C
25%
30°C
19%
31°C
11%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 25%
28°C 24%
30°C 19%
27°C 11%
26°C or below
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
24%
29°C
25%
30°C
19%
31°C
11%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate typical early-June conditions over the Sichuan Basin, with daily maximum temperatures most likely in the 28–30°C range amid moderate humidity and scattered showers. These outcomes align with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities around those thresholds, reflecting model consensus on steering patterns and limited daytime heating from cloud cover. Climatological baselines show June highs averaging near 29°C, while recent observational trends and ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing that could nudge readings slightly lower or permit brief spikes near 31°C. Updated short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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