Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily high near 27°C in Beijing on June 9, driven by afternoon cloud cover, late-day showers, and moderate humidity that limit peak heating. This aligns with the 35.5% market-implied probability for 27°C, as traders weigh official model consensus against historical early-June averages of 29–31°C. Nearby outcomes at 26°C and 28°C hold lower odds due to narrower uncertainty ranges in short-term guidance, while extremes remain improbable absent rapid atmospheric shifts. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 9 de junio?
28°C 70.0%
27°C 11%
26°C 6%
29°C 5.0%
$91,370 Vol.
$91,370 Vol.
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
66%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
28°C 70.0%
27°C 11%
26°C 6%
29°C 5.0%
$91,370 Vol.
$91,370 Vol.
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
66%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily high near 27°C in Beijing on June 9, driven by afternoon cloud cover, late-day showers, and moderate humidity that limit peak heating. This aligns with the 35.5% market-implied probability for 27°C, as traders weigh official model consensus against historical early-June averages of 29–31°C. Nearby outcomes at 26°C and 28°C hold lower odds due to narrower uncertainty ranges in short-term guidance, while extremes remain improbable absent rapid atmospheric shifts. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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