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icon for ¿Brote de hantavirus antes del 30 de junio?

¿Brote de hantavirus antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Brote de hantavirus antes del 30 de junio?

¿Brote de hantavirus antes del 30 de junio?

2% probabilidad
Polymarket

$65,030 Vol.

2% probabilidad
Polymarket

$65,030 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The limited and contained nature of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship drives the 98% market-implied odds against a hantavirus outbreak by June 30. Official CDC and WHO surveillance through early June confirms roughly 11-13 laboratory-verified cases, all tied to ship passengers or crew, with no confirmed U.S. infections despite monitoring of exposed travelers and a 21-day quarantine period ending May 31. Andes virus, the only hantavirus strain known for limited person-to-person spread under prolonged close contact, has shown no evidence of sustained community transmission or escalation beyond the initial exposure window. Historical U.S. hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases remain sporadic and rodent-linked, with no recent indicators of increased rodent activity or novel strains meeting outbreak thresholds. Any additional cases from the incubation period would likely stay isolated given active public health follow-up.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$65,030
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The limited and contained nature of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship drives the 98% market-implied odds against a hantavirus outbreak by June 30. Official CDC and WHO surveillance through early June confirms roughly 11-13 laboratory-verified cases, all tied to ship passengers or crew, with no confirmed U.S. infections despite monitoring of exposed travelers and a 21-day quarantine period ending May 31. Andes virus, the only hantavirus strain known for limited person-to-person spread under prolonged close contact, has shown no evidence of sustained community transmission or escalation beyond the initial exposure window. Historical U.S. hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases remain sporadic and rodent-linked, with no recent indicators of increased rodent activity or novel strains meeting outbreak thresholds. Any additional cases from the incubation period would likely stay isolated given active public health follow-up.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$65,030
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Brote de hantavirus antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Brote de hantavirus para el 30 de junio?" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 2¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 2% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Brote de hantavirus antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $65K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Brote de hantavirus antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Brote de hantavirus antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Brote de hantavirus para el 30 de junio?" con solo 2%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Brote de hantavirus antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.