France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, driven by their world No. 1 FIFA ranking, attacking depth with Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, and strong recent form despite Mbappé's muscle injury scare in Real Madrid's late-April draw that briefly sidelined him ahead of the June 16 opener versus Senegal. Norway sits at 22% on Erling Haaland's dominant qualifying campaign (16 goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, though Haaland's goal drought in 2026 friendlies tempers enthusiasm. Senegal garners 9% as Africa's top-ranked side post-AFCON triumph, but final-stage turmoil including a walk-off lingers amid inconsistent prep results. Iraq's 0.6% underscores their surprise playoff qualification over Bolivia in early April, facing long odds in this group of death.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFrancia 71%
Noruega 22%
Senegal 9%
Irak <1%
$122,984 Vol.
$122,984 Vol.
27 jun 2026
Francia
71%
Noruega
22%
Senegal
9%
Irak
1%
Francia 71%
Noruega 22%
Senegal 9%
Irak <1%
$122,984 Vol.
$122,984 Vol.
27 jun 2026
Francia
$52,053 Vol.
71%
Noruega
$12,498 Vol.
22%
Senegal
$15,817 Vol.
9%
Irak
$42,616 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, driven by their world No. 1 FIFA ranking, attacking depth with Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, and strong recent form despite Mbappé's muscle injury scare in Real Madrid's late-April draw that briefly sidelined him ahead of the June 16 opener versus Senegal. Norway sits at 22% on Erling Haaland's dominant qualifying campaign (16 goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, though Haaland's goal drought in 2026 friendlies tempers enthusiasm. Senegal garners 9% as Africa's top-ranked side post-AFCON triumph, but final-stage turmoil including a walk-off lingers amid inconsistent prep results. Iraq's 0.6% underscores their surprise playoff qualification over Bolivia in early April, facing long odds in this group of death.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volumen
$122,984Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, driven by their world No. 1 FIFA ranking, attacking depth with Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, and strong recent form despite Mbappé's muscle injury scare in Real Madrid's late-April draw that briefly sidelined him ahead of the June 16 opener versus Senegal. Norway sits at 22% on Erling Haaland's dominant qualifying campaign (16 goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, though Haaland's goal drought in 2026 friendlies tempers enthusiasm. Senegal garners 9% as Africa's top-ranked side post-AFCON triumph, but final-stage turmoil including a walk-off lingers amid inconsistent prep results. Iraq's 0.6% underscores their surprise playoff qualification over Bolivia in early April, facing long odds in this group of death.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$122,984Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a commanding 70.5% implied probability to win Group I, driven by their world No. 1 FIFA ranking, attacking depth with Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé, and strong recent form despite Mbappé's muscle injury scare in Real Madrid's late-April draw that briefly sidelined him ahead of the June 16 opener versus Senegal. Norway sits at 22% on Erling Haaland's dominant qualifying campaign (16 goals) and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, though Haaland's goal drought in 2026 friendlies tempers enthusiasm. Senegal garners 9% as Africa's top-ranked side post-AFCON triumph, but final-stage turmoil including a walk-off lingers amid inconsistent prep results. Iraq's 0.6% underscores their surprise playoff qualification over Bolivia in early April, facing long odds in this group of death.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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