Spain's overwhelming 79.5% implied probability as Group H winners stems from their Euro 2024 triumph and Nations League dominance, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Rodri's return from knee injury and Lamine Yamal's expected recovery from a recent hamstring strain despite ongoing fitness concerns across Europe. Uruguay holds a competitive 16% as CONMEBOL qualifiers runners-up with physical edge in their blockbuster Spain clash, though defensive woes intensify with Joaquín Piquerez's ankle ligament tear and José María Giménez's muscle issue clouding backline stability. Saudi Arabia's slim 2.5% nods to their 2022 Argentina upset pedigree amid inconsistent Asian qualifying form, while Cape Verde's 0.1% reflects debutant status and inferior rankings against elite opposition in the expanded 48-team group stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEspaña 80%
Uruguay 16%
Arabia Saudita 2.5%
Cabo Verde <1%
$169,203 Vol.
$169,203 Vol.
España
80%
Uruguay
16%
Arabia Saudita
2%
Cabo Verde
<1%
España 80%
Uruguay 16%
Arabia Saudita 2.5%
Cabo Verde <1%
$169,203 Vol.
$169,203 Vol.
España
80%
Uruguay
16%
Arabia Saudita
2%
Cabo Verde
<1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's overwhelming 79.5% implied probability as Group H winners stems from their Euro 2024 triumph and Nations League dominance, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Rodri's return from knee injury and Lamine Yamal's expected recovery from a recent hamstring strain despite ongoing fitness concerns across Europe. Uruguay holds a competitive 16% as CONMEBOL qualifiers runners-up with physical edge in their blockbuster Spain clash, though defensive woes intensify with Joaquín Piquerez's ankle ligament tear and José María Giménez's muscle issue clouding backline stability. Saudi Arabia's slim 2.5% nods to their 2022 Argentina upset pedigree amid inconsistent Asian qualifying form, while Cape Verde's 0.1% reflects debutant status and inferior rankings against elite opposition in the expanded 48-team group stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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