Trader consensus positions Netherlands as Group F favorite at 54.5% implied probability to win the FIFA World Cup group stage, driven by their top-10 FIFA ranking, three-time finalist pedigree, and competitive March friendlies drawing both legs 2-2 and 3-3 aggregate with Spain before penalties. Japan follows at 26.5% after stunning 1-0 friendly victories over Scotland and England in late March, building on their status as the first non-host to qualify via dominant Asian campaign. Sweden's 14.0% reflects a gritty playoff win over Poland securing qualification despite a No. 38 ranking and inconsistent path, while Tunisia trails at 5.1% amid lower No. 40 standing and earlier clean-sheet qualification run. Post-April draw dynamics and March form shape this competitive setup, with top two plus best third advancing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPaíses Bajos 55%
Japón 27%
Suecia 14%
Túnez 5.2%
$116,217 Vol.
$116,217 Vol.
Países Bajos
55%
Japón
27%
Suecia
14%
Túnez
5%
Países Bajos 55%
Japón 27%
Suecia 14%
Túnez 5.2%
$116,217 Vol.
$116,217 Vol.
Países Bajos
55%
Japón
27%
Suecia
14%
Túnez
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Netherlands as Group F favorite at 54.5% implied probability to win the FIFA World Cup group stage, driven by their top-10 FIFA ranking, three-time finalist pedigree, and competitive March friendlies drawing both legs 2-2 and 3-3 aggregate with Spain before penalties. Japan follows at 26.5% after stunning 1-0 friendly victories over Scotland and England in late March, building on their status as the first non-host to qualify via dominant Asian campaign. Sweden's 14.0% reflects a gritty playoff win over Poland securing qualification despite a No. 38 ranking and inconsistent path, while Tunisia trails at 5.1% amid lower No. 40 standing and earlier clean-sheet qualification run. Post-April draw dynamics and March form shape this competitive setup, with top two plus best third advancing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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