Mercedes commands a 76.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after surging to 135 points through the early 2026 Grand Prix rounds, a 45-point lead over Ferrari fueled by superior power unit efficiency, chassis balance, and mastery of active aero under new regulations. Rookies Kimi Antonelli's back-to-back wins in China and Japan, paired with George Russell's consistent podiums, have solidified trader consensus on their dominance, while Ferrari's Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton deliver reliable results but lack the outright pace. McLaren trails at 46 points with occasional competitiveness from Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, but Red Bull's undriveable RB22 has relegated them to sixth, tied with Alpine. Rivals eye Miami GP upgrades to challenge, though Mercedes' development edge persists.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMercedes 77%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.3%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$14,683,360 Vol.
$14,683,360 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
12%

McLaren
7%

Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
2%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Título del grupo: Haas
<1%

Título del grupo: Alpine
<1%

Williams
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%
Mercedes 77%
Ferrari 12%
McLaren 7.3%
Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing 1.7%
$14,683,360 Vol.
$14,683,360 Vol.

Mercedes
77%

Ferrari
12%

McLaren
7%

Título del ítem del grupo: Red Bull Racing
2%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Título del grupo: Haas
<1%

Título del grupo: Alpine
<1%

Williams
<1%

Aston Martin
<1%

Audi
<1%

Cadillac
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes commands a 76.5% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after surging to 135 points through the early 2026 Grand Prix rounds, a 45-point lead over Ferrari fueled by superior power unit efficiency, chassis balance, and mastery of active aero under new regulations. Rookies Kimi Antonelli's back-to-back wins in China and Japan, paired with George Russell's consistent podiums, have solidified trader consensus on their dominance, while Ferrari's Charles Leclerc and Lewis Hamilton deliver reliable results but lack the outright pace. McLaren trails at 46 points with occasional competitiveness from Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, but Red Bull's undriveable RB22 has relegated them to sixth, tied with Alpine. Rivals eye Miami GP upgrades to challenge, though Mercedes' development edge persists.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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