Elon Musk's recent X activity patterns position the 40-64 tweet range as the market frontrunner at 50.5% implied probability, followed by 65-89 at 34.5%. Daily averages hovering near 25-30 posts in early June tracking periods, including bursts exceeding 50 on select days, inform trader consensus for this Thursday-through-Saturday window. Weekend slowdowns and absence of major breaking news catalysts typically moderate volume compared to weekday peaks, while his established engagement style on platform discourse supports the clustered mid-range outcomes. No confirmed shifts in schedule or external events have altered this baseline in the past week, keeping higher bands like 90+ at single-digit probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 51%
65-89 35%
<40 10%
90-114 5.0%
NUEVO
$11,967 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,967 Vol.
13 jun 2026
<40
10%
40-64
51%
65-89
35%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 51%
65-89 35%
<40 10%
90-114 5.0%
NUEVO
$11,967 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,967 Vol.
13 jun 2026
<40
$423 Vol.
10%
40-64
$62 Vol.
51%
65-89
$108 Vol.
35%
90-114
$322 Vol.
5%
115-139
$593 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,265 Vol.
1%
165-189
$685 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$471 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$699 Vol.
<1%
240+
$7,339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent X activity patterns position the 40-64 tweet range as the market frontrunner at 50.5% implied probability, followed by 65-89 at 34.5%. Daily averages hovering near 25-30 posts in early June tracking periods, including bursts exceeding 50 on select days, inform trader consensus for this Thursday-through-Saturday window. Weekend slowdowns and absence of major breaking news catalysts typically moderate volume compared to weekday peaks, while his established engagement style on platform discourse supports the clustered mid-range outcomes. No confirmed shifts in schedule or external events have altered this baseline in the past week, keeping higher bands like 90+ at single-digit probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$11,967Fecha de finalización
13 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's recent X activity patterns position the 40-64 tweet range as the market frontrunner at 50.5% implied probability, followed by 65-89 at 34.5%. Daily averages hovering near 25-30 posts in early June tracking periods, including bursts exceeding 50 on select days, inform trader consensus for this Thursday-through-Saturday window. Weekend slowdowns and absence of major breaking news catalysts typically moderate volume compared to weekday peaks, while his established engagement style on platform discourse supports the clustered mid-range outcomes. No confirmed shifts in schedule or external events have altered this baseline in the past week, keeping higher bands like 90+ at single-digit probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 11 12:00 PM ET to June 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$11,967Fecha de finalización
13 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's recent X activity patterns position the 40-64 tweet range as the market frontrunner at 50.5% implied probability, followed by 65-89 at 34.5%. Daily averages hovering near 25-30 posts in early June tracking periods, including bursts exceeding 50 on select days, inform trader consensus for this Thursday-through-Saturday window. Weekend slowdowns and absence of major breaking news catalysts typically moderate volume compared to weekday peaks, while his established engagement style on platform discourse supports the clustered mid-range outcomes. No confirmed shifts in schedule or external events have altered this baseline in the past week, keeping higher bands like 90+ at single-digit probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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