Recent geopolitical developments tied to U.S.-Iran tensions and restricted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude supply, driving sharp inventory draws of roughly 6-7 million barrels per day in Q2 2026 according to EIA data. WTI futures near $84-85 per barrel reflect trader focus on potential ceasefire progress that could restore flows, with prices falling over 3% in recent sessions on renewed negotiation optimism after earlier spikes above $90. Large OECD inventory declines and depleted buffers heighten sensitivity to any supply normalization before month-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report and any diplomatic updates, as markets price in probabilities around these supply dynamics rather than fixed outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Petróleo crudo (CL) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
¿Petróleo crudo (CL) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
$137,584 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$90
41%
$85
54%
$80
71%
$75
85%
$70
93%
$65
95%
$63
95%
$60
97%
$56
97%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$137,584 Vol.
$90
$27,187 Vol.
41%
$85
$7,793 Vol.
54%
$80
$6,658 Vol.
71%
$75
$17,150 Vol.
85%
$70
$20,410 Vol.
93%
$65
$935 Vol.
95%
$63
$9,181 Vol.
95%
$60
$23,946 Vol.
97%
$56
$5,089 Vol.
97%
$55
$3,741 Vol.
98%
$52
$6,389 Vol.
99%
$50
$9,104 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent geopolitical developments tied to U.S.-Iran tensions and restricted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude supply, driving sharp inventory draws of roughly 6-7 million barrels per day in Q2 2026 according to EIA data. WTI futures near $84-85 per barrel reflect trader focus on potential ceasefire progress that could restore flows, with prices falling over 3% in recent sessions on renewed negotiation optimism after earlier spikes above $90. Large OECD inventory declines and depleted buffers heighten sensitivity to any supply normalization before month-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report and any diplomatic updates, as markets price in probabilities around these supply dynamics rather than fixed outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$137,584Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent geopolitical developments tied to U.S.-Iran tensions and restricted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude supply, driving sharp inventory draws of roughly 6-7 million barrels per day in Q2 2026 according to EIA data. WTI futures near $84-85 per barrel reflect trader focus on potential ceasefire progress that could restore flows, with prices falling over 3% in recent sessions on renewed negotiation optimism after earlier spikes above $90. Large OECD inventory declines and depleted buffers heighten sensitivity to any supply normalization before month-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report and any diplomatic updates, as markets price in probabilities around these supply dynamics rather than fixed outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$137,584Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical developments tied to U.S.-Iran tensions and restricted tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz have tightened global crude supply, driving sharp inventory draws of roughly 6-7 million barrels per day in Q2 2026 according to EIA data. WTI futures near $84-85 per barrel reflect trader focus on potential ceasefire progress that could restore flows, with prices falling over 3% in recent sessions on renewed negotiation optimism after earlier spikes above $90. Large OECD inventory declines and depleted buffers heighten sensitivity to any supply normalization before month-end. Key near-term catalysts include the next EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report and any diplomatic updates, as markets price in probabilities around these supply dynamics rather than fixed outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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