European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde's repeated public affirmations of completing her eight-year term ending October 2027 underpin trader consensus pricing "No" at 76.5% for her departure in 2026. February reports speculating an early exit to enable French President Macron's influence on her successor ahead of 2027 elections were swiftly rebutted by ECB statements and Lagarde's signals of focus on her mandate. Her April 14 remarks explicitly ruled out leaving amid eurozone economic clouds from inflation pressures and Mideast risks, reinforced by active leadership in the April 30 Governing Council decision to hold rates while eyeing June hikes. Absent new catalysts like health issues or scandals, her continuity aligns with ECB independence norms and historical precedent for full terms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$13,038 Vol.
$13,038 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$13,038 Vol.
$13,038 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde's repeated public affirmations of completing her eight-year term ending October 2027 underpin trader consensus pricing "No" at 76.5% for her departure in 2026. February reports speculating an early exit to enable French President Macron's influence on her successor ahead of 2027 elections were swiftly rebutted by ECB statements and Lagarde's signals of focus on her mandate. Her April 14 remarks explicitly ruled out leaving amid eurozone economic clouds from inflation pressures and Mideast risks, reinforced by active leadership in the April 30 Governing Council decision to hold rates while eyeing June hikes. Absent new catalysts like health issues or scandals, her continuity aligns with ECB independence norms and historical precedent for full terms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Volumen
$13,038Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde's repeated public affirmations of completing her eight-year term ending October 2027 underpin trader consensus pricing "No" at 76.5% for her departure in 2026. February reports speculating an early exit to enable French President Macron's influence on her successor ahead of 2027 elections were swiftly rebutted by ECB statements and Lagarde's signals of focus on her mandate. Her April 14 remarks explicitly ruled out leaving amid eurozone economic clouds from inflation pressures and Mideast risks, reinforced by active leadership in the April 30 Governing Council decision to hold rates while eyeing June hikes. Absent new catalysts like health issues or scandals, her continuity aligns with ECB independence norms and historical precedent for full terms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$13,038Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde's repeated public affirmations of completing her eight-year term ending October 2027 underpin trader consensus pricing "No" at 76.5% for her departure in 2026. February reports speculating an early exit to enable French President Macron's influence on her successor ahead of 2027 elections were swiftly rebutted by ECB statements and Lagarde's signals of focus on her mandate. Her April 14 remarks explicitly ruled out leaving amid eurozone economic clouds from inflation pressures and Mideast risks, reinforced by active leadership in the April 30 Governing Council decision to hold rates while eyeing June hikes. Absent new catalysts like health issues or scandals, her continuity aligns with ECB independence norms and historical precedent for full terms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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