Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 94.2% implied probability that Apple (AAPL) will beat Q2 FY2026 earnings consensus of $1.92 adjusted EPS and $109.5 billion revenue, up 16% and 15% year-over-year, respectively, fueled by sustained iPhone demand momentum from Q1's blowout results—$143.8 billion revenue and $2.84 EPS, exceeding estimates by 4% and 6%. Robust services growth and MacBook Neo upgrades further bolster expectations, reflecting Apple's track record of frequent beats amid strong hardware cycles. Realistic challenges include softening China sales, elevated AI development costs, or services deceleration, though traders see limited downside ahead of today's post-market release and new CEO John Ternus's earnings call debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$16,007 Vol.
$16,007 Vol.
30 abr 2026
$16,007 Vol.
$16,007 Vol.
30 abr 2026
As of market creation, Apple is estimated to release earnings on April 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Apple's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.94 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.94 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Apple releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 94.2% implied probability that Apple (AAPL) will beat Q2 FY2026 earnings consensus of $1.92 adjusted EPS and $109.5 billion revenue, up 16% and 15% year-over-year, respectively, fueled by sustained iPhone demand momentum from Q1's blowout results—$143.8 billion revenue and $2.84 EPS, exceeding estimates by 4% and 6%. Robust services growth and MacBook Neo upgrades further bolster expectations, reflecting Apple's track record of frequent beats amid strong hardware cycles. Realistic challenges include softening China sales, elevated AI development costs, or services deceleration, though traders see limited downside ahead of today's post-market release and new CEO John Ternus's earnings call debut.
As of market creation, Apple is estimated to release earnings on April 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Apple's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.94 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.94 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Apple releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Apple releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Volumen
$16,007Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 3:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Apple is estimated to release earnings on April 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Apple's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.94 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.94 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Apple releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 94.2% implied probability that Apple (AAPL) will beat Q2 FY2026 earnings consensus of $1.92 adjusted EPS and $109.5 billion revenue, up 16% and 15% year-over-year, respectively, fueled by sustained iPhone demand momentum from Q1's blowout results—$143.8 billion revenue and $2.84 EPS, exceeding estimates by 4% and 6%. Robust services growth and MacBook Neo upgrades further bolster expectations, reflecting Apple's track record of frequent beats amid strong hardware cycles. Realistic challenges include softening China sales, elevated AI development costs, or services deceleration, though traders see limited downside ahead of today's post-market release and new CEO John Ternus's earnings call debut.
As of market creation, Apple is estimated to release earnings on April 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Apple's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.94 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple reports GAAP EPS greater than $1.94 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Apple releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Apple releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Volumen
$16,067Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 3:36 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://seekingalpha.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 94.2% implied probability that Apple (AAPL) will beat Q2 FY2026 earnings consensus of $1.92 adjusted EPS and $109.5 billion revenue, up 16% and 15% year-over-year, respectively, fueled by sustained iPhone demand momentum from Q1's blowout results—$143.8 billion revenue and $2.84 EPS, exceeding estimates by 4% and 6%. Robust services growth and MacBook Neo upgrades further bolster expectations, reflecting Apple's track record of frequent beats amid strong hardware cycles. Realistic challenges include softening China sales, elevated AI development costs, or services deceleration, though traders see limited downside ahead of today's post-market release and new CEO John Ternus's earnings call debut.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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